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Trade dynamics change as Trump modifies Canada, Mexico tariffs

In an important change in policy, President Donald Trump of the United States has authorized directives to broaden the exclusions for tariffs that were recently placed on Canadian and Mexican products. This move represents a major reversal from actions that had raised concerns among industries and financial markets. The exclusions, impacting crucial areas of commerce between the U.S. and its top two trading allies, have been issued mere days after the tariffs came into effect.

In a significant policy shift, U.S. President Donald Trump has signed orders to expand exemptions for tariffs recently imposed on goods from Canada and Mexico. This decision marks a notable retreat from measures that had caused alarm among businesses and financial markets. The exemptions, affecting key sectors of trade between the U.S. and its two largest trading partners, come just days after the tariffs were implemented.

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau characterized his recent phone call with Trump as “intense,” with sources indicating that the U.S. president was forceful in his rhetoric during their discussion. Even with certain compromises, Trudeau recognized that an extensive trade dispute between the two countries is still probable. “Our end goal is the elimination of all tariffs,” Trudeau informed journalists, emphasizing the persistent frictions.

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau described his recent phone conversation with Trump as “heated,” with reports suggesting the U.S. president used strong language during their exchange. Despite some concessions, Trudeau acknowledged that a broader trade conflict between the two nations remains likely. “Our ultimate objective is the removal of all tariffs,” Trudeau told reporters, underscoring the ongoing tensions.

Besides excluding specific products, the updated policies lower the tariffs on potash, a crucial component in fertilizer, from 25% to 10%. Nonetheless, a White House representative explained that a large segment of imports—roughly 50% of items from Mexico and 62% from Canada—continue to face tariffs. These numbers might change as companies adjust to the changing trade regulations.

In addition to exempting certain goods, the new measures reduce tariffs on potash, an essential fertilizer ingredient, from 25% to 10%. However, a White House official clarified that a significant portion of imports—approximately 50% of goods from Mexico and 62% from Canada—are still subject to tariffs. These figures could shift as businesses adapt to the evolving trade policies.

The trade disputes have started to affect financial markets, with the S&P 500 index declining nearly 1.8% on Thursday. George Godber, a fund manager at Polar Capital, criticized the administration’s inconsistent tariff strategies, arguing that it poses considerable difficulties for companies handling supply chains and production expenses. Although the U.S. economy remains robust for the time being, he observed that the uncertainty is eliciting stronger reactions from European markets, especially in Germany.

While signing the exemptions, Trump rejected claims that the policy changes were intended to soothe market fluctuations. “This has nothing to do with the market,” he stated. “I’m not even paying attention to the market because, in the long run, our actions will significantly strengthen the United States.”

The exemptions have elicited varied responses throughout North America. Ontario Premier Doug Ford minimized the importance of the tariff suspension, labeling it “insignificant” within the larger scope of trade relations. Earlier this week, Ford declared intentions to implement a 25% tariff on electricity exports to several U.S. states, such as New York, Michigan, and Minnesota, as a counteraction to the trade policies. “It’s not something we wish to do, but we believe we have no other option,” he stated.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent also commented on the trade disputes, criticizing how Trudeau is managing the situation. During a talk at the Economic Club of New York, Bessent called Canadian countermeasures counterproductive, saying, “If you choose to behave irrationally and escalate this, tariffs will only rise.”

The profound economic interconnection among the U.S., Canada, and Mexico has amplified the significance of the tariffs. Billions of dollars in trade cross the borders of these three nations daily, enabled by long-standing free trade agreements. Experts caution that interruptions to this movement could have wide-ranging effects on both businesses and consumers.

Daniel Anthony, president of Trade Partnership Worldwide, observed that the USMCA exemptions could save importers significant sums. However, he mentioned that it’s uncertain how many companies will benefit from these carveouts. “There’s a substantial amount of money on the line, but whether businesses can swiftly adjust to utilize USMCA advantages is yet to be determined,” he commented.

The U.S. economy is starting to experience the impact of the trade policies. The Commerce Department reported a 34% rise in the trade deficit in January, now surpassing $130 billion, as businesses hurried to import goods before the tariffs took effect. Gregory Brown, CEO of BenLee, which manufactures trailers, stated that Trump’s policies have compelled him to modify prices several times recently. Despite this, he observed that his clients have been willing to accept the increased costs, showcasing the resilience of the current economy.

Brown, who was present at Bessent’s address in New York, commended Trump for demonstrating adaptability by broadening the exemptions, calling it a practical reaction to business realities. “He’s attentive to the economy’s requirements and is making necessary adjustments,” Brown remarked.

Brown, who attended Bessent’s speech in New York, praised Trump for showing flexibility by expanding the exemptions, describing the move as a pragmatic response to business realities. “He’s listening to the needs of the economy and making adjustments,” Brown said.

As tensions between the U.S., Canada, and Mexico continue to simmer, the long-term implications of Trump’s tariff policies remain uncertain. While some sectors may benefit from the exemptions, others are likely to face ongoing challenges as the trade landscape evolves. For now, business leaders and policymakers will be watching closely as the April 2 deadline for new tariff measures approaches.

By Juolie F. Roseberg

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